The Transformation of the European economic environment under the impact of the war in Ukraine: an analytical assessment of key challenges and future development trajectories

Iryna Kravets; Valentyna Yakobchuk

doi:10.31749/2451-0718-btip-2026-1-009

Opublikowane: 2026-06-25

Nr 1 (2026)

The Transformation of the European economic environment under the impact of the war in Ukraine: an analytical assessment of key challenges and future development trajectories

Iryna Kravets

, Valentyna Yakobchuk

Dział: Artykuły

https://doi.org/10.31749/2451-0718-btip-2026-1-009

Abstrakt

This paper analyzes the transformation of the European economic environment under the impact of the Russian–Ukrainian war between 2014 and 2025, demonstrating that the war represents not a cyclical crisis but a systemic exogenous shock to the European Union’s economic system. The study examines key macroeconomic and socio-economic effects, including the 2022 energy shock, inflation, economic uncertainty, and labour market adjustments related to migration flows. The results reveal an asymmetric impact across EU member states and increasing risks of internal fragmentation. The findings indicate an accelerated shift of the EU towards a geoeconomic development model based on resilience, strategic autonomy and the integration of economic and security policies.

Słowa kluczowe:

systemic shock , geoeconomic transformation , European Union economy , economic policy uncertainty , energy security transition , strategic autonomy , war-induced structural change , European transformation under stress

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Zasady cytowania

Kravets, I., & Yakobchuk, V. (2026). The Transformation of the European economic environment under the impact of the war in Ukraine: an analytical assessment of key challenges and future development trajectories. Bezpieczeństwo. Teoria I Praktyka, (1), 147–164. https://doi.org/10.31749/2451-0718-btip-2026-1-009

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